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While Los Angeles was prevented from losing lives and homes to the fires of Iston and Palisades, scientists ask why the events of January were very disastrous. Climate change is very likely to be a role in setting the stage that has surrounded multiple fires in the region, according to the analysis of World Weather Turverive, an international research initiative.
The group said about them: “Eight of the eleven models that have been examined also show an increase in the extremist fire index, which increases our confidence in the fact that climate change leads this trend.” .
The Earth is currently 1.3 degrees Celsius more hot than it was before the start of the industrial era. The Second World War found that the conditions of the severe weather index are 35 percent more vulnerable in the Los Angeles region at this temperature. If the planet increases 2.6 ° C of the pre -industrial temperature, the harsh conditions become 35 percent more likely. Based on the current policies, the temperature is higher than 2.6 ° C is the minimum increase that the Earth is expected to reach by 2100.
The researchers noted, however, that the increasing possibilities for peak conditions are not linear progress. Other factors also contributed to the widespread destruction throughout the Los Angeles region, including lack of rain; The region has not received significant rains since May 2024. This type of drought is 2.4 times more likely at the current temperature of the Earth compared to the pre -industry level. The winds of Santa Anna also caused the rapid spread of fires. The team said that the effect of wind is not always reflected in climate models.
World weather is undermined quick studies in harsh weather events to analyze whether climate change is a worker. The international team of researchers aims to address the effect of climate on natural disasters “while the effects of the harsh weather event are still new in the minds of the public and policy makers, and to make decisions related to rebuilding.”