(Bloomberg)-Tesla Inc. shares have multiplied Almost since the last time the company has reported profits-a mobilization group usually high expectations for the upcoming results. But her sale in cars has become a side offer to El Cake’s political coloration.
Most of them read from Bloomberg
A large part of its huge market value was supported in the hope that it would be among the first to develop and market the entire self -driving vehicles. These expectations were won by Donald Trump’s victory in the elections, as investors are betting on the rapprochement between the CEO of Tesla and the US President paves the way-ignoring the risks of cash flow from a possible incentive of EV incentives.
It seems as if the company’s ability to build and sell cars is no longer important. Trading in the options market indicates that investors are preparing for a 7 % movement in either directions off the TESLA fourth profit report, due after the closure of the Wednesday market. This will be the smallest in the post -results since October 2022. The shares decreased by up to 3.4 % on Wednesday, while the broader S&P 500 index fell 0.9 %.
“The market behaves as if the results of Tesla do not concern, and investors may attract flat in the event of a great shock,” said David Wagner, director of governor at Aptus Capital Advisors. “Electric car business is still about 200 billion dollars in the market value, but it is still the financing mechanism for many actual side offers.”
The stock has added approximately $ 600 billion to its market value since the last quarterly numbers were reported. However, in many ways, Tesla shares have become a way for investors to bet on Musk itself, instead of the company. This has advantages, but also raises the risks.
On the one hand, stocks are now unknown to the worldly details of growth and profitability. Earlier this month, EV-Maker reported the delivery processes in the fourth quarter, which missed analysts’ expectations, and was characterized by the first decrease in annual sales in more than a decade. The arrow, which is one of the most valuable stocks in the S& P 500 index, decreased the day before the bounce quickly.
The other aspect is Tesla with vulnerable now to fluctuations and related turns that are likely to be volatile. MUSK asked last week frankly whether the companies that joined the Stargate project were the intelligence announced by Trump to have the money to follow up on promises. Trump and the Republican Party are generally hostile to EV, and the president has ordered his administration to consider eliminating relevant benefits and policies.
This could be a great headache for Tesla, which in the third quarter of 2024 achieved $ 739 million in sale of organizational credits to car manufacturers that need to comply with strict pollution standards. In the quarter before that, it was transferred to $ 890 million. Barclays Dan Levy analyst estimates that about two -thirds of the American Tesla sales, or 20 % of its global sales, takes advantage of the EV tax credits that encourage consumers to buy electric cars. It is not yet clear how the various support and incentives will be affected.
Levi wrote in a memorandum to customers earlier this month: “The basics remains secondary versus the broader theme for the leadership leadership of Tasla, which has entered into hyperholoscope since the United States elections last November,” Levy wrote in a memorandum of customers earlier this month. “It is important to note that this step has nothing to do with EVS, because the election catalyst is negatively objective for EVS.”
Focusing on the pitfalls of evaluating the assessments known in the future to future capabilities-whether artificial intelligence or robots-in the sharp focus on Monday, when the largest stock of technology in the United States is exposed to concerns that the Chinese company Deepseek may disrupt in the field of artificial transport.
Chris McNali, which ranges between $ 500 billion and 600 billion dollars from the current Tesla to EV and Energy companies, according to the ISI Evercore ISI analyst, where the rest was installed on efforts to self -driving cars and human robots. Nicholas Collas, co -founder of Datrek Research, shows that more than 90 % of Tesla share price is linked to what the company might do in the future.
However, some say that the essential nature of Tesla works can also protect it from a sudden pity -like shock.
“Any company is subject to turmoil, but since car manufacturing has a much longer cycle of computers/devices, I think the weaknesses in Tesla will happen slightly more,” said Steve Sosnik, the chief strategy in interactive brokers.
Take a look at how traders put the Tesla profit report on Wednesday also shows that optimism continues to judge. Citigroup Equity and Derivities Trading Trading VISHAL VIVEK estimated that market location options were about 7 out of 10 ascends.
“Musk can gather in the shares gathering with only a few words in the collective call even if the fourth quarter numbers themselves are bad,” said Adam Krizifolley, the founder of Market Intelligence Knowledge. “This makes it very difficult to evaluate the arrow, especially about profits.”
Technical scheme for today
Asml Holding NV has risen since 2020 after the reservation, its value is twice as much as analysts expect, as artificial intelligence has increased on chip making machines. She said in a statement on Wednesday that the Dutch company reported reservations of 7.09 billion euros (7.4 billion dollars) in the fourth quarter. This compares with a average estimate of 3.53 billion euros by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
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-With the help of Cagan Koc and Subrat Patnaik.
(Updates of the current stock update in the third paragraph.)
